University of Wisconsin–Madison

Publications

Peer-Reviewed Publications

Delorit, J. and P. Block, 2018: Promoting competitive water resource use efficiency at the water-market scale: An inter-cooperative demand equilibrium-based approach to water trading, Water Resources Research, doi.org/10.1029/2017WR022323.

Lee, D., P. Ward, and P. Block, 2018: Identification of symmetric and asymmetric responses in seasonal streamflow globally to ENSO phase, Environmental Research Letters 13(4),  doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aab4ca.

Mortensen, E. and P. Block, 2018: ENSO index-based insurance for agricultural protection in southern Peru, Geosciences (invited, special issue) 8(2), 64, doi.org/10.3390/geosciences8020064.

Lee, D., P. Ward, and P. Block, 2018: Attribution of large-scale climate patterns to seasonal peak-flow and prospects for prediction globally, Water Resources Research 54:916-938, doi.org/10.1002/2017WR021205.

Wu, S. Notaro, S. Vavrus, E. Mortensen, R. Montgomery, J. De Pierola, P. Block, 2018: Efficacy of tendency and linear inverse models to predict southern Peru’s rainy season precipitation, International Journal of Climatology 38:2590-2604, doi.org/10.1002/joc.5442.

Mortensen, E., S. Wu, M. Notaro, S. Vavrus, R. Montgomery, J. De Pierola, C. Sanchez, and P. Block, 2018: Regression-based season-ahead drought prediction for southern Peru conditioned on large-scale climate variables, Hydrology and Earth Systems Sciences 22:287-303, doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-287-2018.

Zhang, Y., S. Moges, and P. Block, 2017: Does objective cluster analysis serve as a useful precursor to seasonal precipitation prediction at local scale?  Application to western Ethiopia, Hydrology and Earth Systems Sciences 22:143-157, doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-143-2018.

Delorit, J. and P. Block, 2017: Evaluation of model-based seasonal streamflow and water allocation forecasts for the Elqui Valley, Chile, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21:4711-4725, doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4711-2017.

Zhang, Y., S. Erkyihun, and P. Block, 2016: Filling the GERD: Evaluating hydroclimatic variability and impoundment strategies on Blue Nile riparian countries, Water International (invited, special issue) 41(4):593-610, doi.org/10.1080/02508060.2016.1178467.

Taye, M., T. Tadesse, G. Senay, and P. Block, 2016: The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam: a Source of Cooperation or Contention?, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 142(11):02516001, doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000708.

Zimmerman, B., D. Vimont, and P. Block, 2016: Utilizing the State of El Nino/Southern Oscillation as a Means for Season-Ahead Precipitation Predictor Selection, Water Resources Research 52(5):3761-3774, doi.org/10.1002/2015WR017644.

Zhang, Y., S. Moges, and P. Block, 2016: Optimal Cluster Analysis for Objective Regionalization of Seasonal Precipitation in Regions of High Spatial-Temporal Variability: Application to Western Ethiopia, Journal of Climate 39:3697-3717, doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0582.1.

Reis, J., T. Culver, P. Block, and M. McCartney, 2016: Evaluating the impact and uncertainty of reservoir operation for malaria control as the climate changes in Ethiopia, Climatic Change 136(3-4):601-614, doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1639-8.

Taye, M., P. Willems, and P. Block, 2015: Implications of climate change on hydrological extremes in the Blue Nile basin: A review, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 4 (2015):280-293, doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.07.001.

Lee, D., P. Ward, and P. Block, 2015: Defining Flood Seasons Globally using Temporal Streamflow Patterns, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19:4689-4705, doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-4689-2015.

Gyawali, S. Greb, and P. Block, 2015: Temporal changes in streamflow and attribution of changes to climate and land use in Wisconsin watersheds, Journal of the American Water Resources Association 51(14):1138-1152, doi.org/10.1111/jawr.12290.

Zhang, Y., P. Block, M. Hammond, and A. King, 2015: Ethiopia’s Grand Renaissance Dam: Implications for Downstream Riparian Countries, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 141(9):05015002, doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000520.

Dinku, T., P. Block, J. Sharoff, K. Hailermariam, D. Osgood, J. Del Corral, R. Cousin, and M. Thomson, 2014: Bridging critical gaps in climate services and applications in Africa, Earth Perspectives 1:15, doi.org/10.1186/2194-6434-1-15.

Robertson, A., W. Baethgen, P. Block, U. Lall, A. Sankarasubramanian, F. Souza Filho, and K. Verbist, 2014: Climate risk management for water in semi-arid regions, Earth Perspectives 1:12, doi.org/10.1186/2194-6434-1-12.

King, A, and P. Block, 2014: An Assessment of Reservoir Filling Policies for the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, Journal of Water and Climate Change 5(2): 233-243, doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2014.043.

Baker, J., P. Block, K. Strzepek, R. de Neufville, 2013: Power of Screening Models for Developing Flexible Design Strategies in Hydropower Projects: Case Study of Ethiopia, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 140(12):04014038, doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000417.

Block, P., and L. Goddard, 2012: Statistical and Dynamical Climate Predictions to Guide Water Resources in Ethiopia, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 138(3):287-298, doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000181.

Block, P., and K. Strzepek, 2012: Power Ahead: Meeting Ethiopia’s Energy Needs Under a Changing Climate, Review of Development Economics 16(3):476-488, doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9361.2012.00675.x.

Kwon, H-H, F.A. Souza Filho, P. Block, L. Sun, U. Lall, D.S. Reis Jr., 2012: Uncertainty Assessment of Hydrologic and Climate Forecast Models in Northern Brazil, Hydrological Processes 26(25):3875-3885, doi.org/10.1002/hyp.8433.

Block, P., 2011: Tailoring seasonal climate forecasts for hydropower operations, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 15:1355-1368, doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1355-2011.

Block, P., and K. Strzepek, 2010:  Economic Analysis of Large-scale Upstream River Basin Development on the Blue Nile in Ethiopia Considering Transient Conditions, Climate Variability, and Climate Change, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 136(2):156-166, doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000022.

Block, P., A. Souza Filho, L. Sun, and H. Kwon, 2009:  A Streamflow Forecasting Framework using Multiple Climate and Hydrological Models, Journal of the American Water Resources Association 45(4):828-843, doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2009.00327.x.

Block, P., and B. Rajagopalan, 2009:  Statistical-Dynamical Approach for Streamflow Modeling at Malakal, Sudan, on the White Nile River, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 14(2):185-196, doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2009)14:2(185).

Block, P., K. Strzepek, M. Rosegrant, and X. Diao, 2008:  Impacts of Considering Climate Variability on Investment Decisions in Ethiopia, Journal of Agricultural Economics 39:171-181, doi.org/10.1111/j.1574-0862.2008.00322.x.

Morin, J., P. Block, B. Rajagopalan and M. Clark, 2008:  Identification of Large Scale Climate Patterns Affecting Snow Variability in the Eastern United States, International Journal of Climatology 28(3):315-328, doi.org/10.1002/joc.1534.

Block, P., and B. Rajagopalan, 2007:  Interannual Variability and Ensemble Forecast of Upper Blue Nile Basin Kiremt Season Precipitation, Journal of Hydrometeorology 8(3):327-343, doi.org/10.1175/JHM580.1.

Other Publications

Zhang, Y., S.T. Erkyihun, and P. Block, 2017: From projecting hydroclimate variability to filling the GERD: Upstream hydropower generation and downstream releases in The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and the Nile Basin: Implications for transboundary water cooperation.  Z. Yihdego, A. Rieu-Clarke, and A. Cascao, editors.  Earthscan Studies in Water Resource Management; ISBN 9781138064898.  LINK

Block, 2016: Tailoring Seasonal Climate Forecasts for Hydropower Operations in Meteorology and Energy Security: Simulations, Projections, and Management. P.S. Samuel, editor. CRC Press; ISBN 9781771883863.  LINK

Strzepek and co-authors, 2015: The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam: An opportunity for collaboration and shared benefits in the eastern Nile basin, MIT, Cambridge, MA, 17 pages. LINK

Cervigni, R. and co-authors, 2010: The Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change: Ethiopia, The World Bank: Washington D.C., 96 pages. LINK

Block, P. and C. Brown, 2009:  Does Climate Matter? Evaluating the Effects of Climate Change on Future Ethiopian Hydropower, Planning for an uncertain future – Monitoring, integration, and adaption. Proceedings of the Third Interagency Conference on Research in the Watersheds, United States Geological Survey, R. Webb and D. Semmens, editors. LINK

Baroang, K. M., M. Hellmuth, and P. Block, 2009: Identifying uncertainty and defining risk in the context of the WWDR-4. Discussion Paper prepared for the United Nations World Water Assessment Program, Perugia, Italy, 33 pages. LINK

Block, P., 2008:  An Assessment of Investments in Agriculture and Transportation Infrastructure, Energy, and Hydroclimatic Forecasting to Mitigate the Effects of Hydrologic Variability in Ethiopia, CPWF Working Paper 01, The CGIAF Challenge Program on Water and Food, Colombo, Sri Lanka, 53 pages. LINK

Block, P., K. Strzepek, and B. Rajagopalan, 2007: Integrated management of the Blue Nile Basin in Ethiopia: Hydropower and irrigation modeling, IFPRI Discussion Paper 700, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI): Washington, D.C., 25 pages. LINK

Sadoff, C. and co-authors, 2006: Ethiopia: Managing water resources to maximize sustainable growth, A World Bank Water Resources Assistance Strategy for Ethiopia, The World Bank: Washington D.C., 73 pages. LINK

Block, P., K. Strzepek, M. Rosegrant, and X. Diao, 2006:  Impacts of considering climate variability on investment decisions in Ethiopia, EPT Discussion Paper 150, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI): Washington, D.C., 38 pages. LINK