University of Wisconsin–Madison


Peer-Reviewed Publications

Zimmerman, B., D. Vimont, and P. Block, 2016: Utilizing the State of ENSO as a Means for Season-ahead Precipitation Predictor Selection, Water Resources Research, DOI: 10.1002/2015WR017644. [Link]

Zhang, Y., S. Moges, and P. Block, 2016: Optimal Cluster Analysis for Objective Regionalization of Seasonal Precipitation in Regions of High Spatial-Temporal Variability: Application to Western Ethiopia, Journal of Climate, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0582.1 [Link]

Zhang, Y., S. Erkyihun, and P. Block, 2016: Filling the GERD: Evaluating hydroclimatic variability and impoundment strategies on Blue Nile riparian countries, Water International, DOI: 10.1080/02508060.2016.1178467 [Link]

Taye, M., T. Tadesse, G. Senay, and P. Block, 2016: The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam: a Source of Cooperation or Contention?, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000708, 02516001. [Link]

Reis, T. Culver, P. Block, M. McCartney, 2016: Evaluating the impact and uncertainty of reservoir operation for malaria control as climate changes in Ethiopia, Climatic Change, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1639-8. [Link]

Lee, D., P. Ward, and P. Block, 2015: Defining high-flow seasons using temporal streamflow patterns from a global model, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19: 4689-4705; DOI: 10.5194/hess-19-4689-2015. [Link]

Taye, M., P. Willems, and P. Block, 2015: Implications of climate change on hydrological extremes in the Blue Nile basin: A review, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 4 (2015): 280-293. [Link]

Zhang, Y., P. Block, M. Hammond, and A. King, 2015: Ethiopia’s Grand Renaissance Dam: Implications for Downstream Riparian Countries, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 141(9), 05015002. [Link]

Gyawali, R., S. Greb, and P. Block, 2015: Temporal changes in streamflow and attribution of changes to climate and land use in Wisconsin watersheds, Journal of the American Water Resources Association 51(14): 1138-1152. [Link]

Dinku, T., P. Block, J. Sharoff, K. Hailermariam, D. Osgood, J. Del Corral, R. Cousin, and M. Thomson, 2014: Bridging critical gaps in climate services and applications in Africa, Earth Perspectives 1:15. [Link]

Robertson, A., W. Baethgen, P. Block, U. Lall, A. Sankarasubramanian, F. Souza Filho, and K. Verbist, 2014: Climate risk management for water in semi-arid regions, Earth Perspectives 1:12. [Link]

King, A. and P. Block, 2013: Filling Policies and Climate Change Implications for the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, Journal of Water and Climate, in press. [Link]

Baker, J., P. Block, K. Strzepek and R. de Neufville, 2013 : The Power of Screening Models for Developing Flexible Design Strategies in Hydropower Projects: A Case of the Ethiopian Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, in press. [Link]

Block, P. and L. Goddard, 2012: Statistical and dynamical climate predictions to guide water resources in Ethiopia, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 138(3): 287-298. [Link]

Block, P. and K. Strzepek, 2012: Power Ahead: Meeting Ethiopia’s Energy Needs Under a Changing Climate, Review of Development Economics 16(3): 476-488. [Link]

Block, P. 2011: Tailoring seasonal climate forecasts for hydropower operations, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 15: 1355-1368. [Link]

Kwon, H-H., F.A. Souza Filho, P. Block, L. Sun, U. Lall, D.S. Reis Jr, 2011: Uncertainty Assessment of Hydrologic and Climate Forecast Models in Northeastern Brazil, Hydrological Processes DOI: 10.1002/hyp.8433. [Link]

Block, P., and K. Strzepek, 2010: Economic Analysis of Large-scale Upstream River Basin Development on the Blue Nile in Ethiopia Considering Transient Conditions, Climate Variability, and Climate Change, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 136(2): 156-166. [Link]

Block, P., A. Souza Filho, L. Sun, and H. Kwon, 2009: A Streamflow Forecasting Framework using Multiple Climate and Hydrological Models, Journal of the American Water Resources Association 45(4): 828-843. [Link]

Block, P., and B. Rajagopalan, 2009: Statistical-Dynamical Approach for Streamflow Modeling at Malakal, Sudan, on the White Nile River, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 14(2): 185-196. [Link]

Morin, J., P. Block, B. Rajagopalan and M. Clark, 2008: Identification of Large Scale Climate Patterns Affecting Snow Variability in the Eastern United States, International Journal of Climatology, 28(3): 315-328. [Link]

Block, P., K. Strzepek, M. Rosegrant, and X. Diao, 2008: Impacts of Considering Climate Variability on Investment Decisions in Ethiopia, Journal of Agricultural Economics 39: 171-181. [Link]

Block, P., and B. Rajagopalan, 2007: Interannual Variability and Ensemble Forecast of Upper Blue Nile Basin Kiremt Season Precipitation, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 8(3): 327-343. [Link]

Other Publications

Strzepek and co-authors, 2015: The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam: An opportunity for collaboration and shared benefits in the eastern Nile basin, MIT, Cambridge, MA, 17 pages. [Link]

Cervigni, R. and co-authors, 2010: The Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change: Ethiopia, The World Bank: Washington D.C., 96 pages. [Link]

Block, P. and C. Brown, 2009: Does Climate Matter? Evaluating the Effects of Climate Change on Future Ethiopian Hydropower, Planning for an uncertain future – Monitoring, integration, and adaption. Proceedings of the Third Interagency Conference on Research in the Watersheds, United States Geological Survey, R. Webb and D. Semmens, editors. [Link]

Baroang, K. M., M. Hellmuth, and P. Block, 2009: Identifying uncertainty and defining risk in the context of the WWDR-4. Discussion Paper prepared for the United Nations World Water Assessment Program, Perugia, Italy, 33pp. [Link]

Block, P., 2008: An Assessment of Investments in Agriculture and Transportation Infrastructure, Energy, and Hydroclimatic Forecasting to Mitigate the Effects of Hydrologic Variability in Ethiopia, CPWF Working Paper 01, The CGIAF Challenge Program on Water and Food, Colombo, Sri Lanka, 53 pages. [Link]

Block, P., K. Strzepek, and B. Rajagopalan, 2007: Integrated management of the Blue Nile Basin in Ethiopia : Hydropower and irrigation modeling, IFPRI Discussion Paper 700, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI): Washington, D.C., 25 pages. [Link]

Sadoff, C. and co-authors, 2006: Ethiopia: Managing water resources to maximize sustainable growth, A World Bank Water Resources Assistance Strategy for Ethiopia, The World Bank: Washington D.C., 73 pages. [Link]

Block, P., K. Strzepek, M. Rosegrant, and X. Diao, 2006: Impacts of considering climate variability on investment decisions in Ethiopia, EPT Discussion Paper 150, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI): Washington, D.C., 38 pages. [Link]